Call the midterms

Same idea as the rest of the site: say what you think before you know, then check the receipts. Here the receipt arrives on one night — 71 days from now.

The question is who you think will win, not who you want to. A prediction can be checked against what happens; a preference can't be checked against anything.

The two that decide everything else

both chambers

Control of the House

All 435 seats are up. Which party holds the majority in the next Congress?

44 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Control of the Senate

35 seats are up. Which party holds the majority in the next Congress?

44 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

The Senate map

35 seats

Every seat on the ballot, not a shortlist. A third of the Senate stands every two years and the Constitution decides which third, so this list is a fact rather than a judgement about which races are worth your attention — including the two special elections for seats currently filled by appointment.

Alabama — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Tommy Tuberville's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Alaska — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Dan Sullivan's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Arkansas — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Tom Cotton's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Colorado — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. John W. Hickenlooper's term ends in January.

42 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Delaware — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Christopher A. Coons's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Florida — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Special election. Ashley Moody was appointed to the seat.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Georgia — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Jon Ossoff's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Idaho — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. James E. Risch's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Illinois — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Richard J. Durbin's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Iowa — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Joni Ernst's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Kansas — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Roger Marshall's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Kentucky — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Mitch McConnell's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Louisiana — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Bill Cassidy's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Maine — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Susan M. Collins's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Massachusetts — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Edward J. Markey's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Michigan — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Gary C. Peters's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Minnesota — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Tina Smith's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Mississippi — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Cindy Hyde-Smith's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Montana — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Steve Daines's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Nebraska — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Pete Ricketts's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

New Hampshire — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Jeanne Shaheen's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

New Jersey — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Cory A. Booker's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

New Mexico — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Ben Ray Luján's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

North Carolina — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Thom Tillis's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Ohio — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Special election. Jon Husted was appointed to the seat.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Oklahoma — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Alan Armstrong's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Oregon — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Jeff Merkley's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Rhode Island — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Jack Reed's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

South Carolina — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Darline Graham's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

South Dakota — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Mike Rounds's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Tennessee — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Bill Hagerty's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Texas — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. John Cornyn's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Virginia — U.S. Senate

D holds it

Class 2 seat. Mark R. Warner's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

West Virginia — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Shelley Moore Capito's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Wyoming — U.S. Senate

R holds it

Class 2 seat. Cynthia M. Lummis's term ends in January.

41 people have called this. What they said shows once you've called it yourself.

Does how you vote predict how you call it?

39 people

Everyone here with a Needle reading and at least one call, grouped by which way their legislative record leans.

Their Needle	People	Called D	Called R
Democratic	11	208	199
Even	12	217	227
Republican	16	269	288

This describes the people on VoteWire and nobody else. They chose to be here, they chose which bills to weigh in on, and there aren't many of them — so it is not a measure of the country, and any resemblance to one would be luck.

Argue about it

1 comment

One thread for the whole midterms — the races, the map, what the calls above are missing. Your call on a race stays private until you've made it, but nothing stops you making the case here first.

Sort

magnusgrimmettCO-312d ago

Should be interesting to see how they pan out - wonder if the DSA has done more damage to the democrats than the media are allowing for.

How this works

You call the party, not the candidate. Candidate lists move until the last minute — a withdrawal or a ballot ruling would leave every prediction on that race unscoreable. The party that wins the seat is settled on the night and stays settled.

You can't see a race's split until you've called it. If the running total were visible first, later calls would partly be a reaction to earlier ones, and the total would measure who showed up first as much as what anyone thinks. Change your mind as often as you like until election day; after that it's frozen, because a prediction you can edit afterwards isn't one.

No number here is a poll. It's a count of people on this site, which is a small group that selected itself. Every total says how many people it's out of, and none of them appear until at least fifteen have called.